Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-04 1.087754 1.233758 1.392928 1.579466 1.792270 2.027680 2.308139
2026-01-11 0.873931 1.074811 1.312841 1.616310 1.993850 2.449287 3.042225
2026-01-18 0.742152 0.964954 1.244573 1.622517 2.122036 2.762416 3.650151
2026-01-25 0.639219 0.869231 1.171605 1.600169 2.195235 2.997084 4.167653
2026-02-01 0.555707 0.785188 1.099092 1.562525 2.234004 3.178737 4.621398
2026-02-08 0.488299 0.713729 1.033138 1.522123 2.258060 3.334277 5.045576
2026-02-15 0.447810 0.675326 1.008343 1.535594 2.357638 3.603870 5.661967
2026-02-22 0.408427 0.633764 0.973542 1.528347 2.421901 3.822303 6.217476
2026-03-01 0.371712 0.592195 0.933916 1.508081 2.461159 4.001824 6.724664
2026-03-08 0.331578 0.541143 0.874223 1.448761 2.429331 4.060375 7.031688
2026-03-15 0.307441 0.513646 0.849511 1.443889 2.486256 4.269318 7.615818
2026-03-22 0.295223 0.504704 0.854213 1.488537 2.631184 4.640658 8.525229
2026-03-29 0.268172 0.470479 0.817297 1.464944 2.667559 4.850042 9.213498
2026-04-05 0.252319 0.454793 0.811882 1.498945 2.816135 5.287077 10.406262
2026-04-12 0.234195 0.432891 0.792715 1.504682 2.911109 5.632966 11.464609
2026-04-19 0.214636 0.406185 0.761760 1.484027 2.951538 5.876259 12.344713
2026-04-26 0.195563 0.378392 0.725805 1.449232 2.958868 6.052707 13.105474
2026-05-03 0.178316 0.352395 0.690635 1.411885 2.955981 6.206422 13.835383
2026-05-10 0.168268 0.339689 0.680333 1.424337 3.058927 6.594709 15.143140
2026-05-17 0.157204 0.323807 0.661994 1.417638 3.119187 6.896434 16.291150
2026-05-24 0.146037 0.306625 0.639281 1.398903 3.150202 7.135716 17.322260
2026-05-31 0.132698 0.283586 0.602057 1.344061 3.092512 7.164433 17.839177
2026-06-07 0.124851 0.271723 0.587759 1.339556 3.151601 7.473862 19.107732